Rustybrick ( Barry ) released a pagerank prediction tool last year, I had always stressed pagerank cannot be predicted without having all the great linkage data google has, But this tool has faked a lot of people, Lots of people thought this pagerank prediction tool can actually predict pagerank, I had argued in SEO-guy forums and other forums that this tool is for fun, But many thought that this tool is actually telling truth,

anyone can easily guess this tool is just guessing or predicting something which is 100% inaccurate,

Finally Barry agrees this tool was developed by him as a April fool joke,

This is what he says in his blog,

"I believe I was one of the first, if not the first, to come up with the Google PageRank Prediction Tool. I launched that tool on April 1st, 2005 - yes it was April fools day. To appease the SEM community, I added a line about the tool should be used for "entertainment purposes only." How do I come up with the future PR? I pull some historical data from different places, I won't say exactly what they are, and I either increase the current PageRank value of a page and or decrease it by a percentage factor.
So is it accurate? No way! It was an April fools joke. Sometimes it is right, and often it is wrong. But I still get emails, at least once per week, asking me questions about the tool or ways to help increase people's pagerank.
There are other tools that look at your PageRank at all the Google datacenters. They are not really future pagerank tools, they check your real time pagerank at these datacenters. If a "Google Dance" or PageRank update is taking place, it will show the current pagerank at that datacenter."

http://www.seroundtable.com/archives/003021.html

So did he finally agree he is completely wrong???, Is he telling the truth I feel No,

check this thread where barry participated

http://www.v7n.com/forums/showthread.php?t=6206 ,

Check the posting date it says 25-3-2004, But check the posting in his blog it says April 1st, 2005 which is about 1 year difference, Even if he made a mistake mentioning 2005 instead of 2004 still the thread clearly says this tool was not released on April fools day but released before that,

PLUS see the posts where Barry is defending his tool,

An extract of some of his postings,

rustybrick
03-25-2004, 04:36 PM
I made this nifty tool that checks
your future PageRank. The recipe is a secret:Check out the new Google PageRank
Prediction Tool (http://www.rustybrick.com/pagerank-prediction.php).Let me know
if there are any bugs here.Thanks.

rustybrick
03-25-2004, 04:48 PM
hmm... for most its accurate. Well, your sites will probably have crazy PR values and go through the roof. You do a damn good job of getting links.;)but the value of your forum makes sense.

Replying to john's reply he says "hmm... for most its accurate. "

For Most its accurate HUH... and he didnt say its april fool joke there???? why??//

Furthur more

"rustybrick
03-25-2004, 05:54 PM
How does it determine what sort of increase to expect?Its like telling you the recipe to Coke Cola. ;)"

Its a coke Cola secret??/

rustybrick
03-25-2004, 06:00 PM
its a long detailed formula. I have never found an example of a 0% change. Thanks for pointing that out.

Long Detailed Formula or April fool Joke??//


03-25-2004, 07:46 PM
based on the feedback, we fixed some problems.

Fixed problems with a April fool tool??/

More

rustybrick
base, ur still 0 - thats fine.spear, i am rounding down, like google does. So its under a 5.49. Returning whole numbers. but its a good thing, u increased a bit behind the scenes.
rustybrick
some people dont, i know you do - but i got people cursing me out because its not giving them to the decimal point.

LOL some newbies are so dumb, cursing an april fool tool for not showing decimal point.

Read that thread for more Fun,

But in same thread experts like Bob Wakfer Writes,

"I don't know why this thread is still alive and why anybody is wasting time on it. The tool is a joke. There is no way it is or can be anywhere close. Google couldn't forecast your PR in a months time and there is no way this tool can. It a sham and a delusion.You are all either wasting your time, or deluding yourself, or both. There are lots of good tools out there that can help you. This is not one of them."

Well said bob,

SEO Genie.

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